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Belarus Intensifies Repression Ahead of January Election with Anti-Riot Drills

Belarusian authorities are ramping up preparations for the upcoming presidential election in January, where President Alexander Lukashenko aims to secure a seventh term. In a clear indication of their stance against dissent, police have initiated extensive anti-riot drills. Interior Minister Ivan Kubrakov stated that these exercises are designed to train law enforcement in countering "extremism and terrorism" and to prevent any unlawful actions that could disrupt public order.

Opposition leader Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya criticized the drills, describing them as a prelude to a potential crackdown on dissent ahead of what she calls a "fictitious election." She emphasized that such displays of force reflect the authorities' fear rather than strength, asserting that intimidation tactics will not extinguish the Belarusian people's desire for freedom and democracy.

The Interior Ministry has released footage of these drills, showcasing helmeted police in riot gear preparing to disperse protests, including a simulated arrest of a voter. Additionally, high-ranking officials from the Security Council have expressed concerns about external influences attempting to destabilize Belarus.

The backdrop of these preparations is a history of violent repression following the disputed 2020 election, which resulted in widespread protests and the arrest of approximately 65,000 individuals. Many opposition figures remain imprisoned or have fled the country, with around 1,300 political prisoners currently reported, many of whom face inadequate medical care and limited family contact.

In the lead-up to the January 26 election, authorities have intensified their crackdown, arresting individuals connected to political prisoners and those involved in online discussions about dissent. Recently, Lukashenko has also stripped ranks from 21 military and law enforcement officials for their actions during the 2020 protests, signaling a tightening grip on loyalty within the ranks.

Despite this repression, Lukashenko has pardoned 146 political prisoners since July, a move interpreted by some observers as an attempt to signal a willingness to engage in dialogue with the U.S. and the European Union, which have imposed sanctions in response to his government's actions against dissent. Those pardoned reportedly had health issues and expressed remorse, suggesting a complex interplay of political maneuvering as the election approaches.

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