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China's December Consumer and Factory-gate Inflation Ease

China’s consumer and factory-gate inflation cooled in December as the government intervened to retain materials prices.

Data released earlier in the day showed that the consumer price index (CPI) grew 1.5% year-on-year, lower than the 1.8% growth predicted in forecasts prepared by Investing.com and November’s 2.3% growth. It contracted 0.3% month-on-month in 2021, down from the 0.2% growth in forecasts prepared by Investing.com and the previous month’s 0.4% growth.

The data also showed that the producer price index (PPI) grew 10.3%, lower than the growth of 11.1% in forecasts prepared by Investing.com and November’s 12.9% growth.

Slower growth in both indexes indicated easing inflationary pressure as the government stepped in to curb soaring high raw material prices and tackle power shortages.

However, the world’s second-largest economy still faces challenges in 2022 such as property woes, slowing manufacturing, and COVID-19 outbreaks. For some investors, softer inflation could lead to further monetary easing.

“The probability of a rate cut in the first quarter is high, and the closest window is this month,” China Renaissance Securities Hong Kong Ltd. head of macro and strategy research Bruce Pang told Bloomberg.

Consumer inflation “will not be a concern in 2022” and the core measure without counting volatile food and energy costs, will stay below 1.5%, he added. Read More…

 

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