What to Expect in Philippine Politics in 2025
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Loading... - Chiyo Gato
- 07 Jan 2025
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As the Philippines heads into 2025, the political landscape is poised to be dominated by several key issues, including the mid-term elections, the ongoing feud between the Marcos and Duterte families, and public scrutiny over government spending.
Key Issues and Developments
- Mid-Term Elections: The upcoming local and senatorial mid-term elections are expected to be a focal point of political activity. With the election campaign period starting in February, both the Marcos and Duterte camps are fielding candidates, which could significantly influence the political dynamics in the country. The elections will provide an opportunity for opposition forces to address pressing issues such as inflation, low wages, and inadequate social services.
- Budget Controversies: The recent budget signed by President Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. has faced criticism for its perceived inadequacies in funding social services and the allocation of funds for pork barrel projects. Critics argue that the budget is designed to bolster the electoral prospects of the president’s allies by providing them with additional funds to distribute to constituents. Protests are anticipated as citizens express their dissatisfaction with what they view as a "crooked" budget.
- Impeachment Complaints Against Sara Duterte: Vice President Sara Duterte is facing multiple impeachment complaints related to allegations of corruption and improper use of confidential and intelligence funds (CIFs). The impeachment hearings are expected to commence once Congress resumes its session, potentially dragging on for weeks or months. The political implications of these hearings could be significant, especially as they coincide with the election campaign.
- The Marcos-Duterte Rift: The split between the Marcos and Duterte families is likely to deepen in 2025. While President Marcos has publicly discouraged divisive actions against his former ally, he may leverage the impeachment process to weaken the Duterte political base. This rift could have lasting effects on the political landscape, influencing voter sentiment and party dynamics.
- International Criminal Court (ICC) Investigation: Former President Rodrigo Duterte is under investigation by the ICC for alleged crimes against humanity during his administration. The Marcos government has stated it will not cooperate with the ICC but has also indicated it will not obstruct investigations. Duterte has expressed willingness to face prosecution, but his supporters may react strongly if the case progresses. The potential for criminal charges against Duterte related to extrajudicial killings could also emerge as a contentious issue.
Public Sentiment and Potential Outcomes
As political factions vie for power, there is a growing sense of public discontent regarding the continued dominance of political dynasties. Voter dissatisfaction could manifest in a protest vote against the Marcoses, the Dutertes, and their respective parties. The mid-term elections will serve as a critical barometer of public sentiment and could reshape the political landscape ahead of the 2028 presidential election.
In summary, 2025 is set to be a pivotal year in Philippine politics, characterized by electoral contests, ongoing political rivalries, and significant public scrutiny of government actions. The outcomes of these developments will likely have lasting implications for the country's political future.
